Daniel L Charts

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Interests

General
International Indices

Argentina MERVAL
Australia ASX
Brazil IBOVESPA
China SHANGHAI SE A SHARE
Dow Jones World WORLD
Germany DAX
Hong Kong HANG SENG COMPOSITE
India BSE SENSEX
Japan NIKKEI AVERAGE(500)
Korea KOSPI COMPOSITE
Russia RSF MOSCOW TIMES
Saudi Arabia ALL SHARE INDEX
Thailand SET
Utd Kingdom FTSE
Gold - Afternoon Fix
Silver Fixing Spot Price

Blogs of Interest

Big Picture
Bubble Tracking
Bubble Meter
Calculated Risk
EconBrowser
Economist's View
Housing Bubble
iTulip
Minyanville
Mish's Deflation Pages
Prof. Piggington
RGE Monitor
Ticker Sense
Music
Movies
Television
nope, i'm usually in china and can't understand shit.
Books
Heroes
you, my friend. you are my hero.

Latest Blog Entries

Dec 30, 2006 5:14 AM The Refreshing Take on 07
Dec 29, 2006 7:52 AM The Red Chips are not gold stocks
Dec 27, 2006 7:09 AM America's Red Ink
Dec 19, 2006 6:02 PM The last time this happened...
Dec 15, 2006 7:03 PM Seasonality: stocks are a buy

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About me:

..
I'm originally from the Boston area, where I went to high school and college. Below are a bunch of charts I've collected from the Web.

click image to enlarge		The Japanese Cycle After Japan's stock market bubble crashed, the Japanese funneled money into everyone's favorite "safe", "can't-lose" investment: real estate. (Sound familiar?) This created a bubble in the real estate sector, which lured many Japanese citizens into bad debts on overpriced housing. Eventually this cycle sent Japan's economy into a tailspin from which they have yet to recover. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		Yield Curve Inversions This chart shows the spread between the long-dated 10 year treasury and short-dated 2 year note. Usually, the longer the life of the loan, the higher interest rate you receive. But every once in a while, the short end offers a higher yield. This is called a yield curve inversion. When these rare inversions happen, recessions typically follow. How is the yield curve doing now on July 22, 2006? already inverted. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		Bull and Bear Markets Stocks for the long term? Maybe, maybe not. When you adjust for inflation stocks can often be a lousy buy-and-hold investment. Twice in the last century, investors got stuck with periods of 0% returns that lasted about 15 years. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		The Demographics of Higher Taxes Our population is old and getting older. Problem is the elderly and aging boomers haven't saved enough money for their retirement. Making matters worse? Our government is already burdened with debt and a budget deficit. The elderly are counting on younger workers to foot their bill, but there are a lot more geezers than youngins. Probably means that in the future, the old will be working longer and young will be paying their bill through very high tax hikes. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		Don't Ask for a Promotion Deflation casts a pox on wage growth. This chart potentially has some application to the US economy. If the fed funds rate dives below 1% again during the next recession, and the rate cuts cannot cause prices to rise, then you can probably bet that the average wage of US workers will fall, as they have in Japan. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		San Diego's Housing Deviation San Diego housing bubble. Median home price divided by income. Prices potentially have a lot of room to fall here. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		America's Borrowing Binge Interest rates may be low, but the percentage of disposable income consumed by debt is very high. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		Growth Needs More and More Debt From 1952 to 2002 the total sum of mortgage debt has grown from a mere 15% of our GDP to 68% of our GDP. My guess is we're past 70% in 2006. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		Not Afraid to Borrow Many people claim that debt is not an issue because in general, the net worth of our citizens has risen too. The catch is that debt as a percentage of net worth is currently at an historical extreme. This gauge has risen nearly threefold since the early 50s. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		Housing and Consumption Connection Over the past 40 years mortgage debt and our our trade deficit have shown a very strong correlation. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		At an Extreme? When adjusted for inflation, housing prices have never been as expensive as they are now. A fall in prices might be expected. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		Japan's Long Slide Down Japan had its own housing bubble that peaked around 1991. It's 15 years later and land values are now sell for less than half of the peak prices they sold for during the frothy boom years. [comment here]
click image to enlarge		First-World Reversions When a first-world economy's current account deficit exceeds 5% of its GDP, the deficit almost always contracts to at least 2.5% of GDP. The US is near 7% in 2006. We might face a nasty recession if a reduction in consumption reduces our current account to 2.5% of GDP. [comment here]